Source : THE AGE NEWS
By Stan Choe
US stocks are drifting ahead of Friday’s highly anticipated jobs report.
The S&P 500 was 0.2 per cent lower in afternoon trading. The Dow Jones was down 2 points, or less than 0.1 per cent, as of 2:06 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2 per cent lower.
Wall Street has struggled to gain traction this week.Credit: Bloomberg
The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 5.02am AEST pointing to a gain of 10 points, or 0.1 per cent, at the open. The ASX finished flat on Thursday.
Stocks had been flip-flopping in the morning but turned higher briefly after President Donald Trump said he had “a very good phone call” with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, about trade and that “their respective teams will be meeting shortly at a location to be determined.”
It signals an easing of tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Both sides had earlier accused the other of violating the agreement that had paused the stiff tariffs each had put on the other, which threatened to drag the economy into a recession.
Hopes that Trump would lower his tariffs after reaching trade deals with China and other countries have been among the main reasons the S&P 500 has rallied back so furiously since dropping roughly 20 per cent below its record two months ago. It’s now back within 2.4 per cent of its all-time high.
To be sure, nothing is assured amid Trump’s on-and-off rollout of tariffs, and markets took the latest detente with China relatively coolly.
Trading activity in options markets suggests investors believe the next big move for the S&P 500 could come on Friday, when the US Labor Department will say how many more jobs US employers created than destroyed during May. The expectation on Wall Street is for a slowdown in hiring from April.
A resilient job market has been one of the linchpins that’s propped up the US economy, and the worry is that all the uncertainty created by tariffs could cause businesses to freeze their hiring.
A report on Thursday said more US workers applied for unemployment benefits last week than economists expected. The number remains relatively low compared with history, but it still hit its highest level in eight months.
The data came as Procter & Gamble, the giant behind such brands as Pampers diapers and Cascade dish detergent, said it will cut up to 7,000 jobs over the next two years. Its stock fell 2 per cent.
Tesla slumped 8.9 per cent. CEO Elon Musk’s relationship with Trump continued souring amid a disagreement over the president’s signature bill of tax cuts and spending.
On Wall Street, Five Below rallied 4.7 per cent after the retailer, which sells products priced between $us1 and $US5, reported a stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. CEO Winnie Park credited broad-based strength across most of its merchandise.
MongoDB jumped 12.8 per cent after the database company likewise delivered a stronger profit than analysts expected.
Circle Internet Group, the US-based issuer of one of most popular cryptocurrencies, surged 180 per cent shortly after making its debut on the New York Stock Exchange.
On the losing side of Wall Street was Brown-Forman, the company behind Jack Daniel’s and Woodford Reserve. Its stock fell 17.3 per cent and was potentially heading for its worst day since it began trading in 1972.
The bromance between Trump and Musk is souring quickly.Credit: AP
Brown-Forman’s profit and revenue for the latest quarter fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, and the company said it expects its upcoming fiscal year to be challenging because of “consumer uncertainty, the potential impact from currently unknown tariffs” and other things.
The CEO of PVH, which runs the Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands, likewise cited challenges from “an increasingly uncertain consumer and macroeconomic backdrop.”
Its stock fell 17.4 per cent even though it reported stronger revenue and profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. The company cut its profit forecast for its full fiscal year, saying it will likely be able to offset only some of the potential hit it will take because of tariffs.
Expectations are building in financial markets that the Federal Reserve will need to cut interest rates later this year in order to prop up an economy potentially weakened by tariffs. Yields took a sharp turn lower on Wednesday after a pair of worse-than-expected reports on the US economy bolstered traders’ bets for a cut.
The Fed has been keeping interest rates on hold this year after slashing them through the end of 2024. Part of the reason for the pause is that the Fed wants to see how much Trump’s tariffs will hurt the economy and raise inflation. While lower interest rates could boost the economy, they also tend to give inflation more fuel.
Treasury yields held steadier on Thursday ahead of Friday’s jobs report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.39 per cent from 4.37 per cent late Wednesday after tumbling from 4.46 per cent the day before. It had been lower before Trump’s encouraging description of his call with Xi.
In stock markets abroad, indexes in Europe were mixed amid modest moves after the European Central Bank cut its main interest rate again, as was widely expected.
The moves were larger in Asia, where South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.5 per cent after the country’s new president and leading liberal politician Lee Jae-myung began his term, vowing to restart talks with North Korea and beef up a partnership with the US and Japan.
AP
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