Source : INDIA TODAY NEWS
Heavy rain and thunderstorms have returned to parts of Delhi-NCR and neighbouring north Indian states, bringing a sudden burst of monsoon activity after a prolonged period of uneven rainfall.
The showers, however, are likely to remain patchy over the next couple of days before a fresh dry spell sets in across northwest and central India.
According to the latest rainfall projections, Delhi-NCR, Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh are expected to receive scattered early-morning to noon showers over the next two days.
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While the coverage is likely to remain limited, localised thunderstorms and heavy bursts could trigger temporary waterlogging and traffic disruptions in parts of the region.
The immediate weather pattern is being influenced by a combination of active monsoon conditions and a western disturbance.
These systems are helping generate instability over northern India, allowing moisture-rich air to rise and produce clouds, thunderstorms and rainfall.
At the same time, the broader monsoon pattern remains highly uneven across the country.
Active monsoon conditions are expected to persist over eastern and central India early this week, with scattered to fairly widespread moderate to heavy rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms.
The latest four-week ECMWF rainfall outlook suggests this east-west divide could become more pronounced.
East India is likely to remain the main zone of rainfall activity, with the monsoon expected to stay active there through the first two weeks of September.
In contrast, north-west, western and southern parts of the country are projected to remain relatively dry.
The situation could change significantly in the second half of September, when models indicate a substantial reduction in rainfall activity across the country.
For Delhi-NCR, the current spell may therefore be short-lived. Meteorological conditions are expected to become drier from Wednesday or Thursday as northwesterly winds strengthen.
This could signal the development of stronger break-monsoon conditions over north-west and central India later in the week.
The contrasting rainfall pattern comes as India continues to carry a significant seasonal deficit. The all-India rainfall departure from normal currently stands at around 13.6 per cent below normal and is expected to cross the 15 per cent deficit mark by the end of August.
For now, Delhi-NCR may see brief relief from the rain deficit, but the larger monsoon story remains one of sharp regional contrasts, with eastern India staying wet while north-west and central India increasingly face a drying trend.
– Ends
SOURCE :- TIMES OF INDIA
